Fraser Valley and Surrey Housing Market: “Encouraging Uptick” in May

by Joanna Gerber

The Fraser Valley residential real estate market, centred around key cities such as Surrey, Langley, and Abbotsford, experienced a modest positive shift in May, according to the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board.

This slight rebound in monthly activity follows a sluggish April. There were 1,183 sales across its MLS® system in May, for a 13% increase month-over-month. However, that uptick belies broader weakness: sales were down 22% from May 2024 and stood 36% below the ten-year seasonal average.

Table showing Fraser Valley real estate market metrics for May 2023, 2024, and 2025, including sales, new listings, active listings, ratios, and benchmark prices for property types.

Source: FVREB

The composite Benchmark Price declined 1% month-over-month to $963,200, and all major home types posted similar monthly decreases: detached homes were down 1.6% to $1,481,900, condos dipped 0.9% to $532,700, and townhomes held nearly flat at $832,800. 

Listings continued to rise. May saw 4,007 new listings, a 7% increase over April and 6.6% higher than a year ago. This brought total active listings to 10,626, a level not seen since 2019 and 54% above the ten-year seasonal average. The sales-to-active listings ratio now sits at 11%, formally pushing the Fraser Valley into buyer’s market territory (anything below 12%).

Fraser Valley’s housing dynamics have been shifting over the past two years. In May 2023, the region was still grappling with supply constraints and rebounding buyer demand, with the sales-to-active listings ratio at a strong 30.8%, well into seller’s market territory. Benchmark prices had just rebounded past the $1 million mark, and listings, while improving, remained relatively scarce.

Fast forward to May 2025, and conditions have reversed. Inventory has nearly doubled since May 2023 (up 91%), while sales have fallen by over 30%. This trend highlights a prolonged rebalancing of the market, driven by macroeconomic factors and shifting buyer sentiment. The composite Benchmark Price has been dropping; for detached homes, the decline was 3.2%; townhomes, 2.5%; and condos, 4.0%.

Surrey’s Pivotal Role in Regional Trends

As the largest and most active market in the Fraser Valley, Surrey significantly shapes the region’s trajectory. In 2024, Surrey accounted for 51% of all FVREB sales, followed by Langley at 24% and Abbotsford at 15%. These proportions are consistent with historical norms and highlight Surrey’s influence on regional price trends and inventory dynamics.

Year-end data from 2024 confirms the broader slowdown already in motion before the current spring season. FVREB recorded 14,570 sales across the year, for a 1% decline from 2023 and the lowest total in a decade. This drop came despite a surge in new listings, which reached a 10-year high of 35,698 (up 20.6% from 2023). That disparity between listings and sales set the stage for the elevated inventory observed in early 2025. 

Surrey’s scale and rapid development ensure it remains a bellwether for the broader Fraser Valley. 

A Market in Transition

Looking ahead, the Fraser Valley market is poised to remain in a state of cautious equilibrium. The return of seasonal activity in May is encouraging, but without a sustained recovery in affordability, demand is unlikely to return to peak levels. The combination of high inventory, falling benchmark prices, and extended time on market points to a slow and potentially prolonged adjustment.

For buyers, the current conditions offer more leverage than at any point since 2019. For sellers, particularly those listing single-family homes, pricing strategy and timing will be critical.

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